According to Airbus’ forecast for the global market over the next 20 years (2016-2035), passenger traffic will grow by an average of 4.5% per year with the need to over 33 000 new aircraft with an average of 100 seats (32 425 passenger planes and 645 cargo aircraft for over 10 tons) worth 5.2 trillion dollars. By 2035 aircraft in the world will double from today’s 19,500 machines to almost 40 000. About 13 000 passenger and cargo aircraft will be replaced with more fuel-efficient models.
Urbanization and growing future in the dynamic economies, particularly in Asia, stimulate the growth of air traffic. With a total population of over 6 billion people, these economies will grow by 5.6% annually and the propensity to travel of people will triple to 75%. Within 10 years the domestic air traffic in China will become the largest in the world. In Western Europe and North America, growth in air traffic will be 3.7 percent.
Globally, 62% of the world population will be urban population and the number of aviation mega-cities will increase from 55 to 93 by 2035. For 20 years the number of daily passengers on long-haul travel to, from, or through aviation mega-cities will more than double to 2.5 million.
The global business services of Airbus, which now extend to six centers for customer service and 14 training are prepared for growth over the next 20 years, requiring about 1 million pilots and engineers (560,000 new pilots and 540,000 new engineers) for flights and maintenance of the new aircraft.